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In 2019 his mid-race time trial victory in Pau meant the race was his to lose, and although the mass attack by the opposition (also led by QuickStep, curiously enough) on the road to Guadalajara was a major subsequent wobble, he still remained in control all the way to Madrid.
There can be no doubt, though, that this is a very different scenario to any of the previous three Vueltas that Roglič has won. By the TT at the latest, it’ll have become clear if Thursday’s performance was just a lone off-day, or the first sign of a broader, underlying lack of top race condition. Rather than Pico Jano, the most definitive test of whether Roglič can or cannot fight for the overall victory this year in the Vuelta will come first this weekend, with two much tougher back-to-back mountain stages and then finally in the time trial in Alicante next Tuesday. But barring Ayuso, none of them were then able to drop Roglič, either. Unsurprisingly, all the other GC challengers made him do all the legwork in chasing down the Belgian in the six remaining kilometres to the summit.
If the first major mountain stage always has an innate ability to reveal weaknesses in the armour of any GC contender, Roglič is no exception to that rule.įurthermore, if Roglič was not on his best game on Thursday, he did anything but crack completely, either, once Evenepoel and Mas, as well as Ayuso had laid down the gauntlet. More to the point is that after his Tour injuries and abandon, the climbs of the first week of the Vuelta were always going to be where he was most vulnerable. It’s not just that Roglič has proved that overcoming setbacks is an in-house speciality.
Yet as former Vuelta podium finisher Joaquim Rodriguez turned TV pundit pointed out on Thursday evening, just because Roglič has suffered one, very striking, defeat, the chances of him turning the tables again and fighting for a fourth GC title are still pretty much intact.